1. Identificação | |
Tipo de Referência | Artigo em Revista Científica (Journal Article) |
Site | mtc-m16c.sid.inpe.br |
Código do Detentor | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S |
Identificador | 8JMKD3MGP8W/37B9UL8 |
Repositório | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2010/04.15.14.07 (acesso restrito) |
Última Atualização | 2010:04.15.14.07.19 (UTC) administrator |
Repositório de Metadados | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2010/04.15.14.07.20 |
Última Atualização dos Metadados | 2018:06.04.03.56.42 (UTC) administrator |
Chave Secundária | INPE--PRE/ |
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-009-9743-7 |
ISSN | 0165-0009 |
Chave de Citação | MarengoRustPenaReno:2010:Pa2:Hi |
Título | An intercomparison of observed and simulated extreme rainfall and temperature events during the last half of the twentieth century: part 2: historical trends |
Projeto | MMA/BIRD/GEF/CNPq (PROBIO Project), IAI (IAI CRN055-PROSUR), Instituto do Milenio LBA, the Brazilian National Climate Change Program from the Ministry of Science and Technology MCT, the UK Global Opportunity Fund-GOF Project Using Regional Climate Change Scenarios for Studies on Vulnerability and Adaptation in Brazil and South America and the Argentina´s Grants: University of Buenos Aires X135 and BID 1728/OC-AR-PICT 38273 |
Ano | 2010 |
Mês | feb |
Data de Acesso | 18 maio 2024 |
Tipo de Trabalho | journal article |
Tipo Secundário | PRE PI |
Número de Arquivos | 1 |
Tamanho | 1209 KiB |
|
2. Contextualização | |
Autor | 1 Marengo, José Antonio 2 Rusticucci, Matilde 3 Penalba, Olga 4 Renom, Madeleine |
Grupo | 1 CST-CST-INPE-MCT-BR |
Afiliação | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE/CPTEC) 2 Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos FCEN Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina 3 Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos FCEN Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina 4 4Unidad Ciencias de la Atmósfera, FCIEN, Universidad de la Republica, Montevideo, Uruguay |
Revista | Climatic Change |
Volume | 98 |
Número | 3-4 Special Issue |
Páginas | 509-529 |
Avanço | ePrint update |
Nota Secundária | B1_ASTRONOMIA_/_FÍSICA A1_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_I A1_ECOLOGIA_E_MEIO_AMBIENTE A1_ENGENHARIAS_I A1_GEOCIÊNCIAS A1_INTERDISCIPLINAR |
Histórico (UTC) | 2010-04-15 14:07:20 :: deicy -> administrator :: 2010-05-11 01:44:02 :: administrator -> deicy :: 2010-07-05 14:58:28 :: deicy -> marciana :: 2010-07-07 20:39:06 :: marciana -> banon :: 2010 2010-07-07 23:31:11 :: banon -> administrator :: 2010 2010-07-12 21:03:21 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2010 2011-05-11 09:46:49 :: marciana -> administrator :: 2010 2018-06-04 03:56:42 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2010 |
|
3. Conteúdo e estrutura | |
É a matriz ou uma cópia? | é a matriz |
Estágio do Conteúdo | concluido |
Transferível | 1 |
Tipo do Conteúdo | External Contribution |
Tipo de Versão | publisher |
Palavras-Chave | atlantic convergence zone sea surface temperature South America climate change precipitation events Argentina variability circulation Brazil |
Resumo | Projections of changes in climate extremes are critical to assessing the potential impacts of climate change on human and natural systems. Therefore, especial care should be put on the validation of those extremes derived for present climate in both spatial and temporal variability. We analyze historical simulations of three such indicators as derived from seven GCMs contributing to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC-AR4) for the XX century. Our focus is on the consensus in the geographical and temporal variability of temperature and rainfall extreme trends between observations and the GCMs, in terms of direction and significance of the changes at the scale of South America south of 10 oS. The climate extremes described by the 3 indices include warm nights, heavy rainfall amounts and dry spells. The observed historical trends in extremes generally agree with previous observational studies that used other indicators of extremes, and the favorable comparison in the warm nights and extreme rainfall in some regions provides a basic sense of reliability for the GCM simulations. For any specific temperature index, minor differences appear in the spatial distribution of the changes across models in some regions, while substantial differences appear in regions in interior tropical and subtropical South America. The differences are in the relative magnitude of the trends. Consensus and significance are less strong when regional patterns are considered, with the exception of the La Plata Basin, where observed and simulated trends in warm nights and extreme rainfall are evident. This analysis provides a first overview of simulated trends in extremes for present climates, and further work is focused on projected changes in climate extremes from the IPCC-AR4 models. |
Área | MET |
Arranjo | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > COCST > An intercomparison of... |
Conteúdo da Pasta doc | acessar |
Conteúdo da Pasta source | não têm arquivos |
Conteúdo da Pasta agreement | não têm arquivos |
|
4. Condições de acesso e uso | |
Idioma | en |
Arquivo Alvo | Marengo Intercomparison.pdf |
Grupo de Usuários | administrator banon deicy marciana |
Grupo de Leitores | administrator marciana |
Visibilidade | shown |
Política de Arquivamento | denypublisher denyfinaldraft12 |
Permissão de Leitura | deny from all and allow from 150.163 |
Permissão de Atualização | não transferida |
|
5. Fontes relacionadas | |
Edição Anterior | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2008/07.23.18.43 |
Unidades Imediatamente Superiores | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3F3T29H |
Divulgação | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES. |
Acervo Hospedeiro | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2008/03.17.15.17 |
|
6. Notas | |
Campos Vazios | alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress electronicmailaddress format isbn label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previouslowerunit resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url |
|
7. Controle da descrição | |
e-Mail (login) | marciana |
atualizar | |
|