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1. Identificação
Tipo de ReferênciaArtigo em Revista Científica (Journal Article)
Sitemtc-m16c.sid.inpe.br
Código do Detentorisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Identificador8JMKD3MGP8W/37B9UL8
Repositóriosid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2010/04.15.14.07   (acesso restrito)
Última Atualização2010:04.15.14.07.19 (UTC) administrator
Repositório de Metadadossid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2010/04.15.14.07.20
Última Atualização dos Metadados2018:06.04.03.56.42 (UTC) administrator
Chave SecundáriaINPE--PRE/
DOI10.1007/s10584-009-9743-7
ISSN0165-0009
Chave de CitaçãoMarengoRustPenaReno:2010:Pa2:Hi
TítuloAn intercomparison of observed and simulated extreme rainfall and temperature events during the last half of the twentieth century: part 2: historical trends
ProjetoMMA/BIRD/GEF/CNPq (PROBIO Project), IAI (IAI CRN055-PROSUR), Instituto do Milenio LBA, the Brazilian National Climate Change Program from the Ministry of Science and Technology MCT, the UK Global Opportunity Fund-GOF Project Using Regional Climate Change Scenarios for Studies on Vulnerability and Adaptation in Brazil and South America and the Argentina´s Grants: University of Buenos Aires X135 and BID 1728/OC-AR-PICT 38273
Ano2010
Mêsfeb
Data de Acesso18 maio 2024
Tipo de Trabalhojournal article
Tipo SecundárioPRE PI
Número de Arquivos1
Tamanho1209 KiB
2. Contextualização
Autor1 Marengo, José Antonio
2 Rusticucci, Matilde
3 Penalba, Olga
4 Renom, Madeleine
Grupo1 CST-CST-INPE-MCT-BR
Afiliação1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE/CPTEC)
2 Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos FCEN Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina
3 Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos FCEN Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina
4 4Unidad Ciencias de la Atmósfera, FCIEN, Universidad de la Republica, Montevideo, Uruguay
RevistaClimatic Change
Volume98
Número3-4 Special Issue
Páginas509-529
AvançoePrint update
Nota SecundáriaB1_ASTRONOMIA_/_FÍSICA A1_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_I A1_ECOLOGIA_E_MEIO_AMBIENTE A1_ENGENHARIAS_I A1_GEOCIÊNCIAS A1_INTERDISCIPLINAR
Histórico (UTC)2010-04-15 14:07:20 :: deicy -> administrator ::
2010-05-11 01:44:02 :: administrator -> deicy ::
2010-07-05 14:58:28 :: deicy -> marciana ::
2010-07-07 20:39:06 :: marciana -> banon :: 2010
2010-07-07 23:31:11 :: banon -> administrator :: 2010
2010-07-12 21:03:21 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2010
2011-05-11 09:46:49 :: marciana -> administrator :: 2010
2018-06-04 03:56:42 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2010
3. Conteúdo e estrutura
É a matriz ou uma cópia?é a matriz
Estágio do Conteúdoconcluido
Transferível1
Tipo do ConteúdoExternal Contribution
Tipo de Versãopublisher
Palavras-Chaveatlantic convergence zone
sea surface temperature
South America
climate change
precipitation events
Argentina
variability
circulation
Brazil
ResumoProjections of changes in climate extremes are critical to assessing the potential impacts of climate change on human and natural systems. Therefore, especial care should be put on the validation of those extremes derived for present climate in both spatial and temporal variability. We analyze historical simulations of three such indicators as derived from seven GCMs contributing to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC-AR4) for the XX century. Our focus is on the consensus in the geographical and temporal variability of temperature and rainfall extreme trends between observations and the GCMs, in terms of direction and significance of the changes at the scale of South America south of 10 oS. The climate extremes described by the 3 indices include warm nights, heavy rainfall amounts and dry spells. The observed historical trends in extremes generally agree with previous observational studies that used other indicators of extremes, and the favorable comparison in the warm nights and extreme rainfall in some regions provides a basic sense of reliability for the GCM simulations. For any specific temperature index, minor differences appear in the spatial distribution of the changes across models in some regions, while substantial differences appear in regions in interior tropical and subtropical South America. The differences are in the relative magnitude of the trends. Consensus and significance are less strong when regional patterns are considered, with the exception of the La Plata Basin, where observed and simulated trends in warm nights and extreme rainfall are evident. This analysis provides a first overview of simulated trends in extremes for present climates, and further work is focused on projected changes in climate extremes from the IPCC-AR4 models.
ÁreaMET
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Conteúdo da Pasta docacessar
Conteúdo da Pasta sourcenão têm arquivos
Conteúdo da Pasta agreementnão têm arquivos
4. Condições de acesso e uso
Idiomaen
Arquivo AlvoMarengo Intercomparison.pdf
Grupo de Usuáriosadministrator
banon
deicy
marciana
Grupo de Leitoresadministrator
marciana
Visibilidadeshown
Política de Arquivamentodenypublisher denyfinaldraft12
Permissão de Leituradeny from all and allow from 150.163
Permissão de Atualizaçãonão transferida
5. Fontes relacionadas
Edição Anteriorsid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2008/07.23.18.43
Unidades Imediatamente Superiores8JMKD3MGPCW/3F3T29H
DivulgaçãoWEBSCI; PORTALCAPES.
Acervo Hospedeirosid.inpe.br/mtc-m18@80/2008/03.17.15.17
6. Notas
Campos Vaziosalternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress electronicmailaddress format isbn label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previouslowerunit resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url
7. Controle da descrição
e-Mail (login)marciana
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